With the deaths of three top Syrian officials, questions arose
Wednesday as to whether the Damascus attack marks a turning point in the
presidency of Bashar al-Assad.
As the crisis unfolded, experts
looked beyond the day's events to the roots of Syrian President Bashar
al-Assad's power for insights into the 16-month rebellion that grips the
Middle Eastern nation.
Al-Assad grew up in the shadow of his
father, President Hafez al-Assad, a Soviet ally who ruled Syria for
three decades and helped propel a minority Alawite population to key
political, social and military posts.
By most accounts, the elder
al-Assad governed with an iron fist, forging a police state that quashed
opposition by jailing dissidents and marginalizing other political
groups.
Hafez al-Assad was born into a poor family and graduated
from ?om? Military Academy as an air force pilot, before rising in Baath
Party leadership and gaining power in the "Corrective Revolution" of
1970.
His son, Bashar, enjoyed rare privileges and education as he
studied abroad, while his older son, Bassel, was the man groomed to
succeed him and assume power.
Showdown or stalemate in Syria?
But
when Bassel died in a car crash in 1994, Bashar was thrust into the
national spotlight and switched his university focus from medicine to
military science.
"Dr. Bashar," who had headed the Syrian Computer
Society, earned a degree in ophthalmology and enjoyed windsurfing, may
have appeared an unlikely choice.
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But many observers in Europe and the
United States seemed heartened by the incoming president, who presented
himself as a fresh, youthful leader who might usher in a more
progressive, moderate regime.
Asma Akhras al-Assad, whom he married in 2000, is a former investment banker of Syrian descent who grew up in London.
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When
al-Assad's father died in June of that year, it took just hours for the
Syrian parliament to amend the constitution and lower the presidential
age of eligibility from 40 to 34, a move that allowed Bashar to succeed
his father.
Within weeks, he was also made a member of the regional command for the ruling Baath Party, a requirement of succession.
"I
shall try my very best to lead our country towards a future that
fulfills the hopes and legitimate ambitions of our people," al-Assad
said during his inauguration speech.
But Western hopes for a more
moderate Syria sank when the new leader promptly maintained his
country's traditional ties with militant groups, such as Hamas and
Hezbollah.
Attack threatens al-Assad's grip on power
Suspicions later surfaced among the country's regional neighbors over whether Syria was developing a covert nuclear program.
Meanwhile, al-Assad repeatedly vowed to stamp out corruption while strengthening his own grasp on power.
But
in recent months -- and after more than a decade in power -- the Syrian
leader has drawn criticism from around the globe as he's met popular
protests and unrest with force.
Damascus Spring came early in presidency
Thousands
have been killed and many more displaced as the conflict has unfolded,
with state security forces firing on demonstrators, many of whom have
joined opposition groups, including armed rebel brigades.
As
pressure has mounted, the inner circle of the Syrian leader has became
more of a family affair, said David Lesch, a professor of Middle East
history and author of "The New Lion of Damascus: Bashar al-Assad and
Modern Syria."
"That's part of what Bashar has been doing ever
since he came to power," Lesch said. "He has put members of his extended
family ... in various parts of government and military security
apparatus. If the day came -- and it did come -- where there was a
threat to the regime, he could count on the loyalty of those closest to
him."
The president's family belongs to the country's minority
Alawite sect, who are largely driven by fears that they could be
overwhelmed should al-Assad lose power, according to the president's
uncle Rifaat. Recent reports, however, suggest discontent even within
the minority community over his handling of the crisis.
Jordan's king calls attack 'tremendous blow' to regime
Al-Assad's
youngest brother, Maher, is thought to be Syria's second-most powerful
man, overseeing two of the army's strongest units: the Republican Guard,
which protects the regime in Damascus, and the elite Fourth Armored
Division, which suppressed the early uprisings in southern Syria.
But
on Wednesday, a rebel attack killed Defense Minister Dawood Rajiha;
Deputy Defense Minister Assef Shawkat -- al-Assad's brother-in-law; and
Hasan Turkmani, al-Assad's security adviser and assistant vice
president, according to state television.
Shawkat was once in charge of the army's intelligence services and was said to be one of the president's closest allies.
Due
to a translation error, an earlier version of this article erroneously
reported that Interior Minister Ibrahim al-Shaar had been killed as a
result of Wednesday's explosion at a national security building in
Damascus. Al-Shaar was injured in the blast, but he is alive and in
stable condition, according to Syrian state television. CNN regrets the
error.
Wednesday's attack occurred during a meeting of ministers
and security officials and was coordinated by rebel brigades in
Damascus, opposition groups say.
Al-Assad quickly named Gen. Fahd Jassem al-Freij as defense minister, according to the state-run news agency SANA.
State
media also reported that authorities have killed or captured a "large
number" of terrorist infiltrators in Damascus and inflicted "heavy
losses" on terrorists in Homs and Idlib.
But video from a Damascus suburb showed Syrians rejoicing after news spread of the bombing.
Meanwhile,
reports of deaths across the country occur almost every day, with a
London-based opposition group reporting last week that government forces
carried out a massacre in Hama province, killing 220 people there.
Horrific images out of Douma
Al-Assad's administration has consistently said that its forces are targeting armed terrorists funded by outside agitators.
In
early July, al-Assad told a German television station that a months-old
peace plan aimed at ending the violence hasn't failed, but rather has
yet to be implemented because foreign countries are supporting
"terrorists."
Former United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan, named as a special envoy to the region, has spearheaded the peace effort.
The
president's remarks came on the same day that U.S. Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton held that the days for the Syrian regime are numbered.
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