Richard N. Haass is president of the Council on Foreign
Relations. The views expressed are solely those of the author. This
edition of First Take originally appeared here.
The Russian and Chinese veto of the U.N. Security Council draft
resolution that would have declared the situation in Syria a threat to
international peace and security, extended the U.N. diplomatic mission
headed by Kofi Annan, and set the stage for new sanctions and possibly
U.N.-authorized military action was hardly surprising. More important,
it isn’t all that significant.
What explains the veto is not just Russia’s and China’s opposition to
the use of military force to unseat the Assad regime, something which
would have required another Security Council resolution in any event.
They also are uneasy with anything that legitimizes international
involvement in what they see as the domestic affairs of countries. Both
the Russian and Chinese governments fear precedents that could be turned
against them. By contrast, the United States and many others believe
outsiders have a responsibility to act if governments mistreat their
citizens. If nothing else, it’s time for a moratorium on the use of the
phrase “international community” in situations such as this one where no
such consensus exists.
More from CFR: Why Russia won't yield on Syria
The vote in New York won’t materially affect the situation on the
ground. The Syrian government has lost control over important parts of
the country, and the opposition has demonstrated an ability to strike
successfully in Damascus. Fighting is likely to intensify; the
opposition will want to build on the momentum of this week’s successful
bombing; the Assad regime will want to demonstrate it is still able to
defeat any and all challenges.
The failure to renew the diplomatic mission being led by Kofi Annan
(with its associated group of observers) is no great loss. The peace
plan under which Annan was operating had – and has – no chance of being
accepted. It would be far better to terminate this effort and establish a
new one with the mission of bringing about the exit of the current
Syrian regime.
Last, the United States and other like-minded governments shouldn’t
equate the United Nations with multilateralism, nor should they see the
U.N. as having a monopoly on legitimacy. To the contrary, they should
form a coalition of the willing and able, composed of NATO countries,
selected Arab governments, and others that are committed to increasing
sanctions against not just Syria but those countries supporting it,
building up the strength and political appeal of the Syrian opposition,
pressing for war crimes indictments against Bashar al-Assad and his
inner circle, planning for strikes against Syrian chemical munitions,
and preparing for a post-Assad Syria.
As hard as it is proving to bring about the regime’s downfall, it
will likely prove far harder to manage a transition to something stable
and democratic.
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